https://www.safe-esteem.com/home daily 1.0 2024-02-19 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/59ef56b6d7bdce8224644759/1510259005560-D2D5YQ9PAZB3QN9ADIWN/10_30_2017_Dinner_PARTY4890_v4.jpg Safe-esteem Home https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bfc45d35417fc9e067fa076/1600458009537-BV1AMHI5NRDQWSSJAP1G/SE+Logotype+White%402x.png Safe-esteem Home https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bfc45d35417fc9e067fa076/1567538638420-MX8T5LLIQMFF21XGIOOK/Dashboard_b.png Safe-esteem Home https://www.safe-esteem.com/unafraid daily 0.75 2023-04-20 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bfc45d35417fc9e067fa076/1642005526355-6T0I9NY2I3YIRPCUES9K/Safe-esteem_Moments_8.jpg Live Unafraid https://www.safe-esteem.com/unafraid/turkey-syria-earthquake monthly 0.5 2023-02-07 https://www.safe-esteem.com/unafraid/understanding-travel-risk-advice-part-two monthly 0.5 2022-01-12 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bfc45d35417fc9e067fa076/79dc864d-099e-4651-8db8-922d773a1d2e/WorldRiskMap.png Live Unafraid - Understanding Travel Risk Advice: Part Two - Make it stand out Travel risk maps based on nominal and ordinal scales remain very popular even among security professionals despite the well-documented methodological problems and judgment fallacies associated with them. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bfc45d35417fc9e067fa076/a1d0728b-6237-4ebc-a89d-c29c2e7a24b5/US_homicide_rates_2020.jpeg Live Unafraid - Understanding Travel Risk Advice: Part Two - Make it stand out Averaging and binning personal or travel risk data can be dangerously misinforming, yet the practice remains widely used. Image courtesy of Safe-xplore by Safe-esteem, Inc. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bfc45d35417fc9e067fa076/cde660cb-5782-4431-accd-0494041a8eb3/Medellin_murder_rate.jpeg Live Unafraid - Understanding Travel Risk Advice: Part Two - Make it stand out An example of the flaw of averages applied to homicide risk across demographic groups. Image courtesy of Safe-xplore by Safe-esteem, Inc. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bfc45d35417fc9e067fa076/6ebfb49f-1105-4c4b-8b22-118a30289f56/Safe_esteem+PRJ+Survey+Image+1.png Live Unafraid - Understanding Travel Risk Advice: Part Two - Make it stand out The survey results above reflect the high uncertainty and noise levels associated with the relative risks between cities even for very narrow and specific domains such as homicide. 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Photo by ev on Unsplash https://www.safe-esteem.com/unafraid/understanding-travel-risk-advice-part-one monthly 0.5 2022-03-29 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bfc45d35417fc9e067fa076/a4dd2efc-d805-4409-a61b-d4ea42632583/Travel_Risk_Map.png Live Unafraid - Understanding Travel Risk Advice: Part One - Make it stand out Image by Timo Wielink via Unsplash https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bfc45d35417fc9e067fa076/fadc2353-71ca-478a-9fdb-68c0726a3f6e/Crowdsourced_Risk_Ratings.png Live Unafraid - Understanding Travel Risk Advice: Part One - Make it stand out Crowdsourced and sentiment-based risk ratings can be dangerously at odds with data-driven and evidence-based scales. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bfc45d35417fc9e067fa076/b2c9ea09-c9a6-4572-82dc-17fd95778eda/riskrating4.jpg Live Unafraid - Understanding Travel Risk Advice: Part One - Make it stand out The U.S. Homeland Security Advisory System https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bfc45d35417fc9e067fa076/5e8f81f3-a231-47ad-a630-0dc514f8ed39/USStateDept_Travel_Risk_Ratings.png Live Unafraid - Understanding Travel Risk Advice: Part One - Make it stand out The US Department of State is an excellent source of risk and safety information for the international traveler, but their rating system is unfortunately plagued by the same ordinal scale shortcomings affecting most of the travel risk and security industry, and can be dangerously misinforming when taken at face value. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bfc45d35417fc9e067fa076/8d2a77ac-fb0f-4ffd-94e1-31c6826f144f/Safe-esteem_Violent_Crime_City_Index.png Live Unafraid - Understanding Travel Risk Advice: Part One - Make it stand out Effective travel and personal risk rating systems are very specific about what they measure (i.e. Violent Crime), are based on incident numbers and rates, and present both absolute and relative metrics (i.e. home vs. destination/index). 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